The Razor’s Edge is an investing podcast that combines a prop trader’s viewpoint and deep-dive fundamental research to provide a unique take on the markets. The show is co-hosted by Akram’s Razor, a trader, tech enthusiast, meat lover, Marvel fanboy, battle tested activist short-seller and humble market servant, and by Daniel Shvartsman, VP of Content at Investing.com and someone who has seen thousands of investing pitches and ideas and how they play out over the past decade. The duo start with a theme or idea from Akram’s investing, then break it down to understand what goes into the idea, what could go wrong, and what else investors and traders need to know. They also interview industry leaders, executives, and other investors to get a wider perspective. The show has thousands of listeners around the world.
Episodes
Tuesday Apr 20, 2021
Tuesday Apr 20, 2021
Semiconductor shortages have been one of the big economic themes emerging in 2021, in our ‘light at the end of the tunnel’ pandemic stage. We have to mention the pandemic because that’s a proximate cause of many of the shortages and supply chain issues that have beset the semiconductor industry and many others. The Auto industry has been a headliner for having to shut production due to lack of semis. And with some grumbling between China and the US over Taiwan, the key role that island plays in the supply chain also looks like a vulnerability.
On today’s episode, we attempt to navigate the economic, geopolitical, and investing implications of all this talk, while zeroing in on the supply chain and its oligopolistic, specialized nature.
Topics Covered
- 2:30 minute mark – The shortage and Covid dynamics in semis
- 7:15 – Working through the supply chain itself
- 16:45 – The consolidation and specialization along the chain
- 20:30 – Distinguishing the auto industry’s demand needs, and the illustration of supply chain limits (or not?)
- 28:00 – The role of the hyperscalers and what would happen if we built fabs in the US
- 34:00 – TSM’s freezing effect on the China-Taiwan-U.S. relationships
- 37:00 – Don’t forget the pandemic effects
- 41:30 – China’s successes in the chip supply chain
- 44:30 – The U.S.’s limits as a consumer market
- 46:30 – Semiconductor market outlook in light of all of this
- 56:00 – Last political notes for context
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